Service Plays Tuesday 10/13/09

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NCAAF ADDITIONAL

Week 7

Trend Report

Tuesday, October 13

8:00 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
Arkansas State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Arkansas State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arkansas State
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arkansas State
 
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NCAAF LONG SHEET

Week 7

Tuesday, October 13

ARKANSAS ST (1 - 3) at LA MONROE (3 - 2) - 10/13/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Tuesday's Comp Play

Take the ‘Under’ in the NCAAF Arkansas State at UL Monroe game

(NCAAF)
 
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DUNKEL
NHL

Detroit at Buffalo

The Red Wings look to build on their 5-1 record in their last 6 meetings in Buffalo. Detroit is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 13
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Calgary at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.512; Columbus 11.441
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+130); Over

Game 53-54: Detroit at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 13.545; Buffalo 12.937
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100); Under

Game 55-56: Colorado at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.405; Toronto 11.358
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-140); 6
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+130); Over
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Jets (-2-1/2 ) and Rockies Monday night.

Today it's Arkansas State. The surplus is 1,105 sirignanos.
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

Arkansas State (1-3, 1-2 ATS) at Louisiana-Monroe (3-2, 3-1 ATS)

The Sun Belt Conference gets some rare national exposure as Arkansas State heads south for a league battle with the Warhawks at Malone Stadium.

The Red Wolves bring a three-game SU losing streak to Monroe, La., though they put a big scare into then-No. 13 and undefeated Iowa 10 days ago, losing 24-21 and covering easily as a 21-point road underdog. Arkansas State trailed 14-0 for nearly the entire first half and got outgained 420-296, but it picked off Iowa QB Richard Stanzi twice, returning one for a second-half touchdown. During their three-game losing skid, the Red Wolves have been outgained by margins of 212, 202 and 124, and they haven’t defeated a Division I-A school this season.

UL-Monroe is coming off consecutive Sun Belt victories over Florida Atlanta (27-25 as a 3½-point road underdog) and Florida International (48-35 as a 6½-point home chalk). In the rout of FIU on Oct. 3, the Warhawks piled up 577 total yards (304 rushing) and surrendered 391 (77 rushing).

The home team has won the last four meetings in this rivalry, but Louisiana-Monroe got the cash all four times, all as an underdog. Last year, the Warhawks went to Arkansas State and fell 37-29, but barely covered as a 14½-point underdog. In fact, the pup has covered in nine straight meetings between these schools since 1998, with six outright upsets. Also, the visitor is 6-2 ATS in the last eight clashes.

Although they easily got the money at Iowa, Arkansas State is still in ATS funks of 2-9 overall, 1-7 on the road, 1-6 in Sun Belt play, 2-8 after a bye, 1-4 in October and 10-26-1 after a spread-cover. Meanwhile, UL-Monroe has failed to cover in eight of its last 10 after a bye, but otherwise, the Warhawks are on impressive ATS runs of 8-3 overall in lined action, 3-0 at home, 21-8-1 in conference action, 10-4-1 in October, 9-3-1 after a SU win and 5-0 when facing opponents with a losing record.

Arkansas State is on “under” runs of 12-3-1 overall in lined action, 12-3-1 on the highway, 9-2-1 when playing on grass and 3-1-1 in October. On the flip side, Louisiana-Monroe carries “over” trends of 5-1 overall, 5-1 at home, 5-1 in October and 18-7-1 in games following a spread-cover.

ATS ADVANTAGE: LOUISIANA-MONROE
 
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NHL WRITE-UP

Tuesday, October 13

Hot Teams
-- Blue Jackets won three of their first four games.
-- Sabres won their last two games, allowing a single goal. Red Wings won their last two games, both by 3-2 scores.
-- Avalanche are 3-2 in their first five games.

Cold Teams
-- Flames lost their last two games, allowing 11 goals.
-- Toronto lost its first five games, allowing 24 goals.

Series Records
-- Home team won last six Calgary-Columbus games.
-- Red Wings won last three games vs Buffalo, allowing four goals.

Totals
-- All six Calgary games went over the total.
-- All three Buffalo games stayed under the total.
-- Four of first five Maple Leaf games went over the total.
 
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NHL ADDITIONAL

Tuesday, October 13

Trend Report

7:00 PM
CALGARY vs. COLUMBUS
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games
Columbus is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. BUFFALO
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games

7:30 PM
COLORADO vs. TORONTO
Colorado is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
 
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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Detroit Red Wings at Buffalo Sabres (-110, 5.5)

It’s been a long time since Todd Bertuzzi was considered a top line forward, but he’s getting a chance to prove his doubters wrong.

Wings head coach Mike Babcock is letting the burly right winger play with two of the league’s best forwards, Pavel Datsyuk and Henrik Zetterberg.

Bertuzzi got bumped to the No. 1 line primarily because of the injury to Johan Franzen.

Even though Bertuzzi didn’t register a point in Detroit’s win over the Caps on Saturday, Babcock told reporters afterwards that it was the best game he’d seen from Bertuzzi “in a number of years.”

“I think I’m capable of playing with (Datsyuk and Zetterberg),” Bertuzzi told Michigan Live. “It would be nice to get some chemistry with them and try to contribute.”

Detroit got back to its style of play over the weekend holding the explosive Capitals to just 23 shots. Even though they’re on the road against a good Buffalo team, you’ve got to like the Wings priced this low.

Pick: Red Wings


Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs (-135, 6)

What’s the worst job in the NHL? If you said Alex Ovechkin’s barber, you were close but not bang on.

Fans of the Maple Leafs are always hard on players on the team that are slumping, but none more than the starting netminder.

Vesa Toskala is at the very bottom of all major stat categories for goalies and is a big part of why the Buds are still in search of their first win this season. If it were up to the mob mentality of Leaf Nation, Toskala would be run out of town.

But the decision is up to coach Ron Wilson, and although he’s going with Joey MacDonald for Tuesday’s game against the Avs, he insists the starting job still belongs to Toskala.

“Right now Vesa starts and that’s where it ends,” Wilson told the Toronto Star.

The Leafs might not win Tuesday’s match, but you can bet they’ll play better in front of their own net.

Pick: Under
 

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Tuesday Update
Monday Recap: 4-1 NHL / 1-0 MLB / 0-1 NFL
7-0 In the MLB Playoffs !

NHL
3* Under 5.5 (-110) Detroit vs Buffalo
 

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Dominic Fazzini
Tuesday's play 15 Dime -- LOUISIANA-MONROE (minus points vs. Arkansas State)


BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS:103631605
 
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NHL LONG SHEET

Tuesday, October 13

CALGARY (4-1-0-1, 9 pts.) at COLUMBUS (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/13/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 3-11 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 45-35 ATS (+94.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 24-21 ATS (+46.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 13-10 ATS (+26.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 4-4 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 4-4-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.9 Units)

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DETROIT (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) at BUFFALO (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/13/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 72-73 ATS (-44.9 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-0-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (3-1-0-1, 7 pts.) at TORONTO (0-5-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/13/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 17-30 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 255-243 ATS (+524.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
TORONTO is 14-25 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 12-27 ATS (+42.4 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-0 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 1-0-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)
 
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NHL SHORT SHEET


Tuesday, 10/13/2009

CALGARY at COLUMBUS, 7:00 PM ET
CALGARY: 8-4 SU after allowing 6+ goals
COLUMBUS: 8-23 SU off a road win

DETROIT at BUFFALO, 7:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 2-7 SU AWAY off 2+ consecutive home wins
BUFFALO: 4-1 SU when playing 3 or less games in 10 days

COLORADO at TORONTO, 7:30 PM ET
COLORADO: 5-12 SU as a home favorite
TORONTO: 14-25 SU at home in first half of the season
 

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randall the handle

COLUMBUS -½ +1.26 over Calgary (REG) Pinnacle
As it turns out the Flames have a quite a few issues of their own and a close look reveals some alarming info. The Flames are 4-1-1, however, they’ve beaten the Oilers twice (barely), the Habs once (barely) and a early season messed up Canucks team. They got beat rather handily by the Stars and they followed that up by blowing a 5-0 lead last night. They got a 5-0 lead because of some absolutely brutal goaltending and not because of its strong play. Don’t get me wrong, the Flames have snipers but they also have some serious defensive issues and that’s a little surprising considering they have Boumeester and Phaneuf back there. Furthermore, Mikka Kiprusoff has not looked sharp at all and he’s one of those goalies that has seen his numbers get worse with each passing year. The Flames have allowed at least three goals against in every game and they haven’t played a single game against the NHL’s elite. Meanwhile, the Jackets are quietly 3-1 with its only loss coming at San Jose. They’re getting tremendous goaltending from Steve Mason, they have a very talented group of forwards and they’re a team on the rise. Despite returning home from a West Coast trip, the Jackets are rested and they’re playing a Flames team playing the tail end of back-to-back games after they were completely manhandled in the second and third periods last night. Play: Columbus -½ +1.26 (Risking 2 units).
 

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Tuesday NHL Plays


NHL Hockey

50* Play Buffalo (-110) over Detroit

25* Play Columbus (-140) over Calgary
 

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